The food insulin index data demonstrates that the carbohydrate content of your food does not accurately predict insulin response.
Protein requires about half as much insulin as carbohydrate.
Indigestible fibre from whole foods tends to have a minimal influence on our glucose and insulin response.
Dietary fat does not require a significant amount of insulin.
Net carbohydrates plus approximately half protein correlates well with our insulin response.
This understanding can help select foods that will cause a lower insulin response and enable more accurate calculation of insulin dosing for people with diabetes.
I used to dabble in share trading. I don’t know much about financial systems, but I spent a lot of time designing and testing “trend following” trading systems.
When the Global Financial Crisis hit in 2009 things got too volatile, and I got out of the market. It was no longer fun. However, the skills I learned as a quantitative trader, along with my day job as an engineering running multi-criteria analyses to identify motorway alignments and prioritise road investments and the like have given me a unique perspective on nutrition that people seem to have found useful.
On the Optimising Nutrition blog, I have tried to describe a system to manage nutrition that makes sense to me. In these articles, I try to document the things that I wish someone had shown to Monica and me when we started out trying to understand diabetes and nutrition.
If we want to understand and predict the behaviour of insulin, the master regulator hormone, we need to first determine what we know that is accurate, significant and useful that we can use.
Previously I have discussed how to calculate how much insulin may be required based on the carbohydrate, protein and fibre ingested. Given the importance of this issue, this article looks in more detail at what can be learned from the test data included in this thesis about the relationship between these parameters, to better manage blood glucose and insulin demand.
The amount of carbohydrate does an excellent job of explaining the amount our glucose levels increase.
Most people know that carbohydrates require insulin. As shown in the chart below, the quantity of carbohydrate goes some way to explaining insulin response. However it is far from a perfect relationship (R2 = 0.44, r = 0.67, p < 0.05).
Taking indigestible fibre into account (i.e. net carbohydrates) improves the relationship (R2 = 0.48, r = 0.69, p < 0.05). The best correlation is achieved when we subtract all the indigestible fibre from the total carbohydrate value. However, we can see from the cluster of data points on the vertical axis there is something going on that is not explained by carbohydrates alone.
The importance of dietary fibre should not be discounted, especially when trying to reduce insulin demand. Some recommend that people with diabetes limit total carbohydrates, rather than considering net carbohydrates, or non-fibre carbohydrates. The danger with a total carbohydrates approach is that people will avoid non-starchy fibrous vegetables that provide vitamins and minerals that cannot be obtained from other foods (unless you’re consuming a significant amount of organ meats), as well as feeding the gut bacteria which is also important to help improve insulin sensitivity and the body’s ability to digest fats. 
The food insulin index data indicates that the highest fat foods have the lowest insulin response (R2 = 0.38, r = 0.631, p < 0.001).
The figure below shows a similar chart for the glucose score (i.e. the area under the curve of the blood glucose rise over three hours after ingestion of the food). Blood glucose response is lowest for foods that contain a higher proportion of calories from fat (R2 = 0.45, r = 0.68, p < 0.001).
Now, while getting more of your energy from fat will help to reduce your insulin requirements and stabilise your blood sugar, you should keep in mind:
The glycerol backbone in fat can be converted to glucose if necessary via gluconeogenesis, so there can still be some insulin and glucose response to refined fat.
Refined fat typically does not contain a broad spectrum of micronutrients.
While type 2 diabetes appears on the surface to be a condition of glucose intolerance, it is fundamentally an issue with your adipose tissue being full. Once you exceed your personal fat threshold your body fat is no longer able to hold excess energy and it spills over into the bloodstream. Reducing the carbohydrates in your diet will stabilise the blood glucose swings, however, you will need to reduce your overall energy intake to enable the excess energy to flow from your body fat stores before you become truly insulin sensitive and lower your blood glucose levels.
Another observation from trading is that you can learn a lot by considering outliers. You have to decide whether the data points that don’t quite fit the trend are garbage or ‘black swans’ need to be accounted for in the system.
In the carbohydrate vs insulin relationship, the outliers are the high protein foods that trigger a higher insulin response than can be explained by considering carbohydrates alone. When we zoom in on the bottom left corner of the carbohydrate vs insulin response chart we see that high-fat foods such as butter, bacon, avocado, olive oil and walnuts do not have a significant insulin response. However, high protein foods such as fish, steak and tuna still have a significant insulin response.
As a general rule, as we increase the protein content of our food our insulin requirements come down. High protein foods force out the processed carbohydrates which require the greatest amount of insulin. Choosing higher protein foods will generally reduce insulin (R2 = 0.10, r = 0.47, p < 0.001).
Increasing protein will also typically lead to a spontaneous reduction in intake due to the thermic and satiety effects of protein.  It is vital to eat adequate protein, but it is hard to overeat protein due to the strong satiety response.
However, protein in excess of the body’s needs for growth and repair can be converted to glucose. The fact that protein can turn to glucose represents a potential ‘hack’ for people with diabetes trying to manage their blood glucose as they can get the glucose required for brain function without spiking blood glucose as much as carbohydrates.
Choosing higher protein foods will lead to better blood glucose control. Although high protein foods still raise the blood glucose somewhat, particularly if you are not insulin sensitive, however, the blood glucose response is gentler, and hence the pancreas can secrete enough insulin to balance blood glucose.
For most people, transitioning to a reduced carbohydrate whole foods diet will give them most of the results they are after. However, for people who require a therapeutic ketogenic diet, consideration of protein may be necessary to achieve the desired outcomes.
For a healthy bodybuilder, the glucogenic and insulinogenic effect of protein might be an anabolic advantage, with the post-workout protein shake providing an insulin spike to help build muscle.
The sugar content of a food is not a particularly useful predictor of insulin demand (R2 = 0.10, r = 0.32, p = 0.001) compared with net carbohydrates (R2 = 0.48, r = 0.69, p < 0.05). Most people struggling with diabetes will need to consider the total sugar in their diet to optimise blood.
insulin load vs food insulin index
If we, take out indigestible fibre (net carbs), assume that fat has a negligible insulin response and refine the protein factor to maximise the correlation with the test data, we end up with this chart which has an improved correlation compared to the model above (R2 = 0.49, r = 0.70, p < 0.001).
One of the shortcomings of the insulin load concept is that extremes of insulin load can lead to a nutrient-poor outcome. As shown in the chart below, nutrient density seems to peak at about 40% insulinogenic calories. If you are insulin resistant, you will want to choose food that has less than 40% insulinogenic calories.
If you have diabetes, you may want to tweak your diet to less than 25% insulinogenic calories. Meanwhile, if you are chasing therapeutic keto, then you will want less than 15% insulinogenic calories. But keep in mind that this will have negative impacts on your ability to get the essential nutrients you need.
the Nutrient Optimiser
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We’re very excited to have this tool now available for you to use. We’d love your feedback on how we can improve it to help more people.
While everyone uses fat for fuel to some degree, a ketogenic diet aims to reduce insulin levels to a point where ketone levels are high enough to be measured in the blood, breath or urine. 
In starvation, insulin levels plummet with glucose levels coming down and ketone levels increase progressively.
According to Dr Steve Phinney’s chart below, a “well formulated ketogenic diet” contains between 3 and 20% carbohydrates and between 10 and 30% protein.
Other dietary templates such as the Mediterranean or Paleo diets typically contain more carbohydrates and less fat.
The concern typically expressed about restricted carbohydrate diets is that they will not provide adequate nutrition (i.e. vitamins, minerals and amino acids).
Diabetics, along with the general population, are advised to eat in line with the USDA Food Pyramid / My Plate guidelines which emphasise “healthy whole grains” while discouraging saturated fat and cholesterol.
Diabetics are told that they should not deprive themselves of any foods or not to risk getting inadequate nutrition, but rather to “cover” any carbohydrates they eat with insulin (or treat with medications such as Metformin for type 2 diabetics).
Even in health circles ketosis is sometimes considered to be extreme and not worth the effort for most people, but is it really that hard to achieve?
When we look at the relationship between ketones, blood sugar and HbA1c we see that someone with excellent blood glucose levels will have a moderate amount of blood ketones.
The chart and table below are based on my tracking of blood sugars and ketone values. Optimal blood (i.e. 4.6mmol/L) glucose corresponds to a ketone value of about 1.3mmol/L.
average blood sugar
In view of this it’s hard to see why ketosis is extreme. It’s just what happens when someone has reduced their dietary insulin load to a point where they are achieving excellent blood sugars!
Ketosis is a sliding scale. Some people will want to push their ketone levels to therapeutic levels though fasting and a higher fat diet, but this may not be necessary for general health.
Most people would benefit from reducing their dietary insulin load to a point where their blood sugars are close to excellent.
See Diabetes 102 for more info on what your blood sugars should be and the Goldilocks Glucose Zone for more thoughts on how to manipulate your diet to get excellent blood glucose levels.
I am a big fan of Steve Phinney (I attended a masterclass with him when he was in Brisbane last year), but I think he potentially alienates people when he starts off talking about the Inuit and Steffanson living off all meat diets.
I also understand why the people generally might baulk at the idea of mainlining butter and MCT oil to drive up ketones. “How can eating all that extra fat really be healthy?” they ask.
I propose an alternative sales pitch for ketosis:
ketosis occurs when your blood sugars are close to optimal,
blood sugars can be optimised by reducing the insulin load of your diet, and
once you optimise your blood sugars you will reduce your hunger, access your body fat for fuel and a whole host of other health markers will improve.
This spicy fish tacos meal from Dr Amy Myers MD gives you a solid dose of omega 3 from the fish along with a good range of fats and fibre from the avocado, and other micronutrients from various vegetables and spices.
Seems there is increasingly more research coming out on the benefits of omega-3 fatty acids, EPA, DHA for a plethora of health benefits including improving brain function and slowing the ageing process by slowing reduction in the length of your telemeres.
Although protein does not raise blood sugars as much as carbohydrate, it still requires insulin.
Dietary fat does not raise your blood glucose and is not insulinogenic.
Optimal nutrition is about maximising micronutrients while managing your glucose load so your pancreas can keep up.
In addition to managing carbohydrates, moderating protein, increasing fibre and maximising nutrition, are important to optimise body fat and normalise blood glucose.
Gary Taubes  has moved the needle in terms of the wider acceptance of the hormonal theory of obesity with his books Good Calories Bad Calories and Why We Get Fat and What to Do About It.
The hormonal theory of obesity revolves around the idea that the food we eat affects our insulin levels which in turn governs how much fat is stored or used for fuel. 
With his focus primarily on carbohydrate, Taubes has not directly address the fact that protein also requires insulin, stating:
“the assumption has always been that the effect of protein has is small compared to that of carbohydrates, and that it is muted because protein takes considerably longer to digest.” 
This may be true to an extent, but could a better understanding of the insulinogenic effect of protein help us further refine the hormonal theory of obesity and our ability to improve blood glucose control, particularly for those who are not able to achieve their goals by simply reducing carbohydrates?
Recently people such as Steve Phinney  and Jimmy Moore  have brought increased attention to the ketogenic diet which takes the low carbohydrate dietary approach to the next level. One of the observations from those measuring blood ketones and trying to achieve nutritional ketosis is that, in addition to limiting carbohydrates, protein needs to be moderated in order to register meaningful blood ketone levels. Too much protein raises insulin and reduces fat burning.
So, using Gary Taubes analogy , what does the food insulin index data  tell us that would help us ‘push the rock a bit further up the hill’?
do calories count?
The antagonists to the hormonal theory of obesity point to numerous studies that show that if you put people in a metabolic ward and feed them a set number of calories and make them exercise the same amount they will lose or gain roughly the same amount of weight regardless of the macronutrient composition of the diet. 
This may be largely true, other than some exceptions as discussed below. However in the real world most people eat when they are hungry and stop when full. Most people do not count every morsel that goes into their mouth.
It should not be necessary to consciously control our appetite. As the Paleo community point out, somehow we seemed to have done pretty well regulating our own appetite before recent times. Something seems to have changed for the worse. 
Most low carbohydrate diet studies allow the low carbohydrate group to eat to satiety while the low fat group has to count calories so they do not exceed their target intake. Even under these conditions though, the low carbohydrate typically usually wins out. 
Isn’t finding a way of eating that will make us satisfied with fewer calories the dietary Holy Grail? When a ‘diet’ becomes enjoyable and self-regulating it is no longer a ‘diet’, it’s just a way of eating!
So what is it about higher fat dietary approaches that leave people naturally satisfied on fewer calories?
what does insulin do?
The hormone insulin is a tangible reality in our family. We have vials of it sitting in the fridge!
My wife has had type 1 diabetes for nearly three decades and wears a pump to deliver insulin through the day with extra doses at meals.
Helping her to refine her insulin doses has become a regular pastime for me, especially through our two pregnancies to try to give our kids the best chance of success.
I think it is helpful to look at diabetics to see what happens when we have too much or too little insulin.
Type 1 diabetics, before they start on insulin, are typically wasting away because their pancreas has stopped making enough insulin. Extremely low levels of insulin cause them to use body fat and muscle for fuel to a point where they waste away.
At the other extreme, diabetics often find that they gain weight quickly when they start injecting insulin. Insulin is an anabolic hormone that regulates how we grow muscle and store fat.
The picture below shows “JL” one of the first type 1 diabetics to receive insulin in 1922. The photo on the left is after diagnosis but before insulin. The photo on the right is the same child two months after starting insulin injections.
Check out this post to see photos of my kids when they were born after spending nine months in a high insulin environment. It’s hard to argue that they were born big due to gluttony and sloth in utero!
I found this explanation from Robert Lustig helpful to understand how insulin affects our appetite, energy levels and fat storage.
If we are consuming highly insulinogenic meals a little bit extra energy gets stored away each time we eat. Unfortunately this extra food does not help us feel full or provide more energy, it just gets stored as fat and we just have to eat more at the next meal. If we also try to restrict calories to lose weight we feel sluggish and have low energy and our metabolism down-regulates to compensate!
This chart from Richard Feinman’s The World Turned Upside Down illustrates the process of cumulative fat storage in a high insulin environment.
The Atkins approach recommends that you reduce your carbohydrates to less than 20g per day during the two week ‘induction phase’ and then allows you to wind them back up slowly to the point that you stop losing weight. 
With Atkins however there is no consideration of the insulinogenic effect of protein. Unlimited fat and protein are allowed as long as you are limiting carbohydrates. The problem is if you just increase protein and still fear fat you may not get enough reduction in insulin to allow your body to properly access fat for fuel.
Richard Feinman uses the analogy that insulin is like a tap that controls fat storage. Without high levels of insulin we can not store as much fat, and thus we have more calories available for energy and therefore do not feel the need to eat as much.
Conversely, if we eat meals that generate less insulin we will be more likely to be able to access our body fat stores for fuel (i.e. ketosis).
This net flow of energy from (rather than into) our fat cells leaves us a little less hungry at each meal because we are getting calories from our fat stores, and hence we are less like likely to overeat without consciously trying.
In the past, the nutritional community has looked to the ‘healthy’ body building community as the model to follow. Bodybuilders often eat five or six meals a day to make sure they gain muscle and ‘keep their metabolism high’. Food manufacturers have been only too willing to design foods for every occasion, with a burgeoning protein and supplement industry.
The problem is, unless you’re a body builder aiming for ‘mad gainz’, working out intensely, meticulously planning your meals and tracking every calorie, increased meal frequency is probably not going to end well for you.
The figure below demonstrates how obese people generally have elevated insulin levels throughout the day. By contrast, lean people tend to have more punctuated bursts of insulin, with the bursts balanced by with periods of lower circulating insulin when the body is able to access stored body fat for fuel.
Like me with my caffeine addiction, constant use of anything will lead to tolerance and insensitivity.  Many find they become insulin resistant due to a diet of fsat digesting highly processed carbohydrate based foods.
One option that has become more popular in recent times is the concept of intermittent fasting.  Going for period without food (or at least carbohydrates) enables your body to decrease insulin levels and allows it to access body fat for fuel.
The increased use of body fat for fuel during the fasting period typically results in a reduction of total food intake across the day.
Some people who have tried low carbohydrate diets with limited success find that intermittent fasting is what allows them to achieve the improved blood glucose and / or weight loss they are after.
I know for me it was intermittent fasting that helped me to improve my blood sugars, raise ketone levels and kick-start fat loss that I had been striving for but not achieving, even on a low carbohydrate Paleo approach.
when a calorie is not a calorie
You may be aware that gluconeogenesis is the process where the body can produce glucose from protein. I only realised recently that protein is made up of glucogenic amino acids (approx. 78%), ketogenic amino acids (approx. 12%) and amino acids that can be either glucogenic or ketogenic (approx. 14%). 
Digestion breaks protein down into amino acids which circulate in our bloodstream until they are required for muscle growth and repair (i.e. protein synthesis) or to balance blood sugars (i.e. via gluconeogenesis).
When we do not eat protein or carbohydrate for a long period the body can obtain glucose from muscle via gluconeogenesis. This is how we can survive long periods of starvation and still supply adequate glucose to the brain.
“In fasting and on a low carbohydrate diet as much of the amino acid carbon as possible will be used for gluconeogenesis.” 
For someone on a low carbohydrate diet this means that nearly 90% of protein not used for muscle growth and repair can be converted to glucose!
The fact that protein can turn to glucose just like carbohydrate at first sounds absurd, then scary. However it is possible to use the glucogenic properties of protein as a ‘hack’ to help you achieve weight loss and / or normal blood glucose levels.
The first benefit is that glucose from protein is accessed as required from the amino acids circulating in the blood stream rather than raising blood sugar immediately, as is typically the case for carbohydrate, particularly if our liver and muscle glycogen is already full.
The second benefit is that it takes extra energy to convert protein to glucose before it can be used for energy. This is sometimes known as the ‘thermic effect of food’. 
You are likely aware that one gram of carbohydrate will digest into on gram of glucose that will provide four calories to be used by the body for energy. If you burn one gram of protein in a calorimeter you’ll get four calories of heat.
However to convert one gram of protein to glucose takes approximately one calorie, so you only get three calories for energy or body fat storage.  Viola! A calorie is not a calorie when it comes to protein being converted to glucose via gluconeogenesis.
Sam Feltham did an interesting n=1 experiment where he compared the effect of 21 days of excess calories on a high carb diet versus the same number of calories on a LCHF approach. The results are summarised in this chart. The weight gain on the LCHF approach was minimal, with waist measurements coming down. However on the high carbohydrate approach the weight gain was basically as per the calories in calories out formula. Interestingly, the vegan approach was only slightly better than the high carbohydrate approach.
fat and insulin
When it comes to insulin demand and fat storage, dietary fat is unique.
“carbohydrate and protein can be turned to fat but, while glucose can be made from protein, with a few exceptions, you can not make glucose from fat.”
Excess glucose from carbohydrate and protein enters our blood stream and is removed, with the help of insulin, to be stored as fat (i.e. lipogenesis).
The chart below shows that the body secretes less insulin in response to higher fat foods. 
If you turn things around to look at insulin demand in terms of non-fat calories (i.e. carbohydrates plus protein) we see that there is effectively no insulin response to fat!
What this means is that the low fat foods we have all been eating to avoid getting fat and getting heart disease are the number one way to increase insulin, which facilitates fat storage as well as increasing insulin resistance which is the primary thing that drives heart disease!
If we eat fewer calories overall the body will use our body fat for energy, but only if insulin levels are low enough to allow the fat to be released for fuel.
If we are trying to lose weight the highest priority is to reduce the insulin load of our diet. We can then eat fat to satiety while maximising nutrition.
can you eat too much fat?
So can eating too much fat make you fat? Yes and no.
If we eat a high fat diet that is also high in carbohydrates and protein we will have high insulin levels and most likely a calorie excess. This will lead us to store the glucose from the carbohydrates and protein as fat. 
However if our diet is low in carbohydrate and moderate in protein such that our insulin levels are reduced, we will be able to access our body fat for fuel, and therefore be less hungry.
In the absence of significant amounts of insulin we typically do not overeat fat. A low carbohydrate, moderate protein, high fat diet will typically lead to reduced hunger, reduced calorie intake and typically lead to weight loss.
If you are struggling to drop weight on a high fat diet, then a period of intermittent fasting and/or tracking your food in a food diary (e.g. MyFitnessPal or Cronometre) might help establish your target macronutrient ratios and avoid overdoing the calories. After this period of ‘retraining’ you should ideally be able to just eat when you’re hungry and stop when you are full.
The figure below shows the macronutrient ratio of four phases of a ketogenic diet according to Steve Phinney.  Note how in the early phases of the ketogenic approach the dietary fat percentage does not necessarily have to be high. Carbohydrates are low enough to reduce insulin levels to the point that body fat can be used for fuel.
Once the desired weight loss is achieved carbohydrate levels can come up a little with fat increasing significantly to supply adequate calories for weight maintenance.
The food insulin index data below shows us that carbohydrates are the primary macronutrient that generates insulin. 
Carbohydrate is typically the body’s primary source of glucose. We need some glucose for the brain to function (about 40g to 160 calories per day minimum), however the body can obtain this from protein via glycogenesis if there is no carbohydrate available.
You may have heard that the body has no need for carbohydrates and that there is no such thing as an essential carbohydrate. This is true, however you should keep in mind that many important vitamins come packaged with carbohydrates (e.g. vegetables).
The optimal approach is to obtain high levels of nutrients while avoiding excessive insulin and normalising blood sugar. We can do this by selecting high nutrient density, low insulin, and high fibre vegetables such as those contained in the food lists here.
While the low carbohydrate diet crowd tend to prioritise avoidance of carbohydrate-containing foods to improve blood glucose levels and achieve weight loss, many people also do well using a high fibre high vegetable approach. 
Most agree that eating lots of vegetables is a good idea. As discussed in this article there is a strong basis for a low calorie density, high nutrient density diet for weight loss and health.
The insulin index data also supports this approach. As detailed this article, the insulin demand of foods is better predicted by net carbohydrates (i.e. total carbohydrates minus indigestible fibre) than by only considering carbohydrates.
The insulin index data also supports this approach. As detailed in this article, the insulin demand of foods is better predicted by net carbohydrates (i.e. total carbohydrates minus indigestible fibre) than by only considering carbohydrates.
Indigestible fibre effectively neutralises the insulinogenic effect of carbohydrates. Fibre also adds to the bulk of our food which helps with satiety and also feeds our gut bacteria, which is highly beneficial. 
Rather than taking fibre supplements, the ideal approach is to select high fibre foods that also have a low insulin load. Some examples of these are spinach, mushroom, broccoli, and Brussels sprouts. More options are detailed in these optimal food lists.
High fibre foods also often have a high nutrient density and a low calorie density. By eating this type of food we ensure we are getting excellent nutrition, tend to be satisfied on fewer calories and also keep our insulin load down.
We are now learning the importance of fibre for our gut bacteria which influences the rest of our health. Reducing the sugar and process carbohydrates will help to avoid manage any overgrowth in ‘bad bacteria’.
In summary, maximising fibre is another tool that we can use, in addition to minimising carbohydrates, moderating protein and eating fat to satiety, to manage blood sugars and obesity.
High protein foods do not generate a sharp rise in blood sugar compared to high carbohydrate foods because the digested amino acids circulate in the blood for use as required to raise blood sugar, rather than directly spilling into the blood stream in the same way that simple carbohydrates would raise your blood sugar if your glycogen stores were already full.
Protein is also satiating and typically leads to a reduction in overall calories. Your body will continue to search out food until it obtains adequate protein. Once you obtain adequate protein you will be more likely to stop eating. 
Protein also contains a range of essential and non-essential amino acids that are required for muscle growth and repair as well as mental function. Maximising the amount and variety of amino acids that come from our diet is the ideal approach rather than trying to supplement.
As noted above, increasing your protein intake is a possible ‘hack’ for diabetics to obtain glucose without spiking blood sugars.
Diabetics and ‘low carbers’ will often limit carbohydrates but compensate by increasing protein. This is generally not a problem because protein is slower to digest than carbohydrate and hence the blood sugar rise from protein is slower and more manageable in comparison to carbs. The body also releases glucagon to offset the protein used in protein synthesis which also helps to stabilise blood sugars.
However, just because protein does not spike blood sugars as aggressively as carbohydrate does not mean that it does not require insulin. The food insulin index data indicates that while the blood sugar response is less than carbohydrates, the insulin demand of protein is still significant.
According to Nuttall and Gannon between 32 and 46g of high quality dietary protein is required to maintain protein balance. This represents around 6 to 7% of the calories in a 2000 to 2500 calorie diet being taken off the top for growth and maintenance. Protein in excess of this level is available for gluconeogenesis.
This should not be taken to mean that extremely low amounts of protein are optimal for health or obtaining glucose from protein via gluconeogenesis is necessarily bad thing. As noted in Phinney’s WFKD below protein levels can range between 10% and 30% while still being ketogenic. The optimal approach revolves around maximising the amount of amino acids from protein and vitamins and minerals from generally carbohydrate based foods while at the same time keeping the glucose load low enough for your pancreas to keep up to optimise your blood sugars.
Ingested protein not used for growth and repair of the body does not magically disappear. A small amount (approx. 12%) will be converted to ketones and used as it if were fat. About 14% can be used either as glucose or fat. But around 80% of protein can only be used as glucose.
This glucogenic protein in excess of the body’s requirements will also require insulin to be used for energy in the mitochondria or to be stored in the fat cells.
High levels of protein will generate insulin which will reduce fat metabolism (i.e. lower levels of ketones). If your pancreas is struggling to supply enough insulin to maintain blood sugars then the insulin load from protein will make it harder for your pancreas to keep up and achieve optimal blood sugars.
If you are trying to lose weight then excess insulin (over and above the amount used for protein synthesis that receives glycogen) will also promote fat storage.
Similar to the concept of protein hunger, if you are not giving your body the vitamins and minerals it needs it will keep on seeking out more food.
In his Perfect Health Diet, Paul Jaminet notes that
“a nourishing, balanced diet that provides all the required nutrients in the right proportions is the key to eliminating hunger and minimising appetite and eliminating hunger at minimal caloric intake.”
It makes sense that eating a nutrient dense diet would help our body to heal and recover from anything else that might be causing insulin resistance and obesity.
Many people talk about the benefits of various supplements for different ailments and performance enhancement, but surely the best approach is to maximise the quality and range of nutrition from the food you eat every day before investing in supplements?
liver storage and insulin sensitivity
A healthy insulin sensitive person will store glucose in their liver as glycogen with minimal rise in blood sugars after eating, regardless of the macronutrients.
A person with type 2 diabetes however will often spill excess glucose into the blood stream which will cause the blood glucose levels to rise and thus additional insulin will be necessary to clear excess glucose from the blood. Excess protein not used for protein synthesis will contribute to refilling the glucose stores in the liver and muscles. 
It makes sense in this situation that you would want to limit the insulin load (i.e. carbs and excess protein) to starve the liver (or ‘dry up the root’ to quote Bob Briggs) such that it is not over full in order to reduce spilling of excess glucose into the blood.
Steve Phinney is probably the most well respected authority on the ketogenic diet. His ‘well formulated ketogenic diet’ versus other dietary approaches shown in the chart below is quite useful.
You will notice that the WFKD space is a triangle indicating that you need to balance your carbohydrates and protein levels in order to manage your insulin load and achieve nutritional ketosis.
You can have 30% protein and 5% carbs, or 20% carbs and 10% protein and still be within the bounds of the WFKD triangle.
However if you run with 30% protein and 20% carbs you will be well outside the realms of a ketogenic diet because you will be producing too much insulin, meaning that you will be ‘kicked out of ketosis’ (i.e. your fat burning will be slowed).
Understanding your insulin load may be the difference between achieving your desired goals from a low carbohydrate diet and not quite getting there.
For a more detailed discussion of how to tweak your glucose load to achieve your goals check out the article the Goldilocks glucose zone.
Although protein does not raise blood sugars as much as carbohydrate, it still requires insulin.
Dietary fat does not raise your blood glucose and is not insulinogenic.
Optimal nutrition is about maximising micronutrients while managing your glucose load so your pancreas can keep up.
In addition to managing carbohydrates, moderating protein, increasing fibre and maximising nutrition, are important to optimise body fat and normalise blood glucose.
Current mainstream dietary guidelines recommend that we get 45 to 65% of calories from carbohydrates. 
In line with these recommendations carbohydrate intake has increased as people have endeavoured to avoid fat. During this period obesity increased from 14.5% to 30.9%.
It’s fair to say that macronutrient composition is only part of the story, but perhaps if we moved the carbohydrate intake back towards the ketogenic corner (along with a shift to more whole unprocessed foods) this trend would turn around again?
However more and more nutrition researchers are now saying that health authorities got it wrong about fats, and that our fear of fat has led us to the over-consumption of carbs which has caused to the current obesity epidemic. 
There are essential fatty acids that the body cannot produce, such as alpha-Linolenic acid and linoleic acid, which we need to obtain from our diet. The body also needs amino acids from dietary protein which form the building blocks for the cells which it is unable to make from other nutrients.
Glucose however can be produced from protein via gluconeogenesis, and hence it is not technically necessary to eat carbohydrates.
Consequently, often asked (and debated) questions are:
If there is no such thing as an essential carbohydrate why do we need to be eating any carbohydrates?
If we took food insulin theory to its logical extreme, could (or should) we live off just fat and “adequate” protein?
How low (carb) can we go while still getting adequate nutrition?
How do we find the optimal balance between obtaining adequate nutrition and energy while avoiding the negative impacts of excess insulin caused by high carbohydrate consumption?
The food insulin index data indicates that there is both a blood sugar and an insulin response to the glucogenic component of protein. 
A higher protein intake tends to lead to better blood sugar control, increased satiety and reduced caloric intake.
Digested amino acids from protein circulate in the bloodstream until they are required for protein synthesis, gluconeogenesis or the production of ketones.
The release of glucose from protein via gluconeogenesis is a demand-driven process that is smoother and slower compared to carbohydrate.
Someone who is insulin resistant and/or whose pancreas is not producing adequate insulin may benefit from higher protein with lower carbohydrate (LCHP) to smooth out the blood sugar response while still obtaining adequate protein.
Protein doesn’t significantly raise blood sugars, at least compared to carbohydrates.
At the same time, it is generally acknowledged (at least by people with Type 1 Diabetes) that protein requires insulin to metabolise. Managing the blood glucose response to protein is a challenge for diabetics, particularly if they are minimising carbohydrates and hence may have a higher protein intake.
Recently, an increasing number of people trying to achieve nutritional ketosis have found that they need to moderate protein in addition to limiting carbohydrates to reduce insulin to the point where significant levels of ketones can be measured in the blood.
My aim here is not to criticise protein, but rather to better understand the insulin and glucose response to protein in light of the food insulin index data.
My wife Monica has Type 1 Diabetes, anything information that can help refine insulin dosing or help inform food choices that will lead to more stable blood sugars is of interest to me.
Personally, I have a family tendency towards obesity and pre-diabetes (based on my 23andMe testing and a lifetime of personal experience trying to keep the weight off), so I am also interested in how I can optimise my blood sugars and insulin levels. I would also love to dodge the weight creep that seems to come with middle age for most people.
This has been a challenging topic to get my head around. It is complex, and there is a lack of definitive research to provide clear guidance. Hopefully, more data and discussion can help to progress the understanding and the practical application of the theory.
I do not claim to have all the answers, but rather plenty of observations and questions. I hope that by documenting some of these, I can help move this discussion forward.
the blood glucose response to protein
The food insulin index data contained in Clinical Application of the Food Insulin Index to Diabetes Mellitus by Kirstine Bell (Sept 2014)  intrigues me. There is a lot to be learned from looking at the body’s insulin response to food and the interrelationship to other parameters such as fat, protein, carbohydrates, fibre or blood glucose.
The data points on the right-hand side of the chart below  indicate that high protein foods (e.g. fish, tuna and steak) cause a small rise in blood glucose. However, the blood sugar response to protein is still small relative to the high carbohydrate foods on the left-hand side of the plot.
For most people, the discussion ends there. Protein does not raise blood sugar much, therefore it is a non-issue. !
One of the challenges I see for type 1 diabetics is that, even if they eat a low carbohydrate diet, they still struggle with blood sugar control after a high protein meal.
Type 1s who have a continuous glucose monitor know that they need to watch out for a rise in their blood glucose three or four hours after a high protein meal and apply correcting doses of insulin to keep their blood sugar from going too high.
Looking at the plot of protein versus insulin index below, we can see that the insulin response to protein is more significant than the blood glucose response to protein.
For instance, the insulin index score for whitefish is 42%, however, it only receives a 20% glucose score (note: the percentage scores are relative to pure glucose which has a glucose score and a food insulin index score of 100%).
Maybe there is something going on that can’t simply be explained by the blood sugar response alone?
If we plot the glucose score versus the insulin index we see that glucose and insulin are not directly proportional.
Low carbohydrate high protein foods such as chicken, cheese, tuna and bacon require a lot more insulin than would be anticipated if insulin was directly proportional to the blood glucose response.
On the lower side of the trend line, we have high carbohydrate foods from whole food sources such as raisins, wholemeal pasta, brown rice and water crackers having less of an insulin response than would be anticipated from the blood glucose response.
diabetic versus normal response to protein
The figure below compares the blood sugar and insulin response to 50g of protein (200 calories) in type 2 diabetics (yellow lines) and healthy non-diabetics (white lines).  We can see that:
Blood glucose remains relatively stable for healthy people after eating 50g of protein. However when someone with Type 2 Diabetes eats a high protein meal the insulin secreted seems to bring the blood sugar down from elevated levels!
Insulin is elevated for more than five hours after ingestion of protein, particularly for the insulin resistant type 2 diabetic. There’s definitely something going on with insulin in response to high protein foods, even if we don’t see a sharp increase in blood sugar.
The diabetic requires a lot more insulin to deal with the same quantity of protein and it takes a lot longer for the insulin levels to peak and comes down.
We can also see from the insulin response that protein takes more than three hours to digest and metabolise. It is possible that the food insulin index data (which is based on the measurement of insulin over only three hours) underestimates the insulin response to protein-containing foods and that the insulinogenic demand of protein is actually higher than predicted by the food insulin index data (i.e. protein requires more than 56% of the insulin relative to carbohydrate).
what happens when we eat a lot of protein?
The question of what happens to ‘excess’ protein that is not required for muscle growth and repair is controversial, and the science is not exactly clear.
Does the energy from unused protein magically disappear? If it did, then protein would be the ultimate macro nutrient that everyone should eat to lose weight. We could effectively ignore calories from protein.
Does it turn into nitrogen and get excreted in the urine?
Or does it turn into glucose ‘like chocolate cake’?
There is limited authoritative information on this topic. However, some helpful guidance that I’ve found on the subject is outlined below:
Richard Feinman says that “…after digestion and absorption, amino acids not used for protein synthesis may be trashed. The nitrogen is converted to ammonia which is converted to urea and excreted. The remaining carbon skeleton can be utilized for energy either directly or converted to ketone bodies, particularly on a very low carbohydrate diet.” 
Richard Bernstein says “Dietary protein is not the only source of amino acids. The proteins of your muscles continually receive amino acids from and return them to the bloodstream. This constant flux ensures that amino acids are always available in the blood for conversion to glucose (gluconeogenesis) by the liver or to protein by the muscles and vital organs.” 
According to David Bender “In fasting and on a low carbohydrate diet as much of the amino acid carbon as possible will be used for gluconeogenesis – an ATP-expensive, and hence thermogenic, process.” 
So it appears that amino acids circulate in the bloodstream and can be used as required for protein synthesis or to stabilise blood glucose levels.
The figure below  shows a comparison of the blood glucose response to ingestion of glucose and 600g of lean beef (i.e. a huge serving of steak!).
During the more than eight hour period that the steak takes to digest you can see the nitrogen levels continue to rise. Meanwhile, blood glucose rises only slightly until around four hours after the meal and comes back down.
What appears to be happening here is that the amino acids from digestion are being progressively released into the bloodstream (over a period of digestion of more than eight hours) but are not immediately converted to blood glucose. Thus the digestion of protein does not cause a sharp rise in blood glucose.
It is said that gluconeogenesis is a demand-driven process, not a supply-driven process. What I think this means is that the body can draw on the amino acids circulating in the bloodstream for muscle growth and repair (protein synthesis) or to balance the blood sugar (via gluconeogenesis) depending on requirements from moment to moment.
The fact that we don’t see a sharp rise in blood glucose in response to protein indicates that excess protein does not immediately turn into glucose. Gluconeogenesis occurs slowly over time with the amino acids being used up as required.
However as noted by David Bender above, if we are fasting or minimising carbohydrates then our body will maximise the use of protein to produce glucose via gluconeogenesis. Conversely, if we eating more carbs and less protein the body doesn’t need to rely on protein as much for glucose.
do amino acids spill over into glucose in the bloodstream?
Most people aren’t eating so much protein that their amino acid stores in their blood are full to overflowing like peoples’ livers and are typically overflowing with glucose from a higher carbohydrate diet.
It would be interesting to see what happens in someone whose bloodstream became saturated with amino acids from long-term consistently high protein consumption.
Would we see more protein excreted or perhaps a larger amount removed from the blood via gluconeogenesis with subsequent conversion to fat using insulin?
By comparison, when carbohydrate is eaten we typically see glucose causing an immediate rise in blood sugar because the liver is often already full.
A healthy non-diabetic person will release both insulin and glucagon in response to a high protein meal.
Insulin helps to metabolise the protein and grow and repair muscles (i.e. insulin is ‘anabolic’). Glucagon helps to keep blood sugar stable and prevent it from going too low due to the action of the insulin used in the muscle growth and repair process.
The body secretes both glucagon and insulin in response to a high protein meal (as shown in the figure below ). In a healthy insulin-sensitive non-diabetic person the glucagon will cancel out the insulin response to the protein used for protein synthesis. Hence we see a flat line blood glucose response in the insulin-sensitive non-diabetic.
In a diabetic, particularly type 1s, we often see blood sugar rising after a high protein meal due to the initial glucagon response and then gluconeogenesis as some of the protein converts to glucose. In the diabetic, the insulin response is either inadequate (due to poor pancreas function) or ineffective (due to high insulin resistance) and therefore the blood sugar does not remain stable as it would in a metabolically healthy person.
By contrast, after we eat a high carbohydrate meal glucagon decreases as the insulin increases and the body moves into fat storage mode as shown in the following figure.  The primary thesis of Protein Power is that we want to do whatever we can to maximise glucagon which promotes fat burning rather than insulin which leads to fat storage.
Even though glucagon offsets the insulinogenic effect of protein used for protein synthesis, it seems that the glucogenic portion of protein requires insulin.
I haven’t found any data on the subject, but I wonder if the body does not secrete glucagon to negate the effect of the ‘excess’ protein over and above the body’s requirement for protein synthesis (say 7 to 10% of calories)?
If this were the case, then the glucogenic proportion of excess protein will behave largely like a carbohydrate with no glucagon to counteract the insulin?
glucagon, the antidote to insulin?
The observation that glucose does not rise significantly in response to protein is often taken to mean that protein is a non-issue. 
This may be largely true for someone who is insulin sensitive. However, diabetics with impaired pancreatic function may not be able to secrete adequate insulin to offset the effects of glucagon and keep their blood sugars stable.
If you are a type 2 diabetic or someone with impaired insulin sensitivity I suggest that it would be better to keep your carbohydrate AND protein intake to the point where your body can keep up and maintain normal blood sugars?
The image below shows the continuous glucose monitor (CGM) plot of a type 1 diabetic after ingestion of a protein shake (46.8g protein and 5.6g of carbs).
Without insulin, there is a blood sugar rise over a period of more than eight hours, not dissimilar to what you would see from carbohydrates.
Is this blood glucose rise from gluconeogenesis of the protein or is the blood glucose rise from glucagon in response to the ingested protein or a bit of each? It’s hard to know.
What we do know is that there is a rise in blood glucose that needs to be managed if we are going to achieve optimal blood sugar control.
letting your pancreas keep up
For a diabetic who is insulin resistant and/or whose pancreas is not producing adequate insulin, the issue is that the total insulin load of their diet (from carbohydrates and the glucogenic component of protein) is more than their body’s ability to keep blood glucose under control.
From the insulin index data, we know that the body’s blood sugar and insulin response are proportionate to carbohydrate plus about half of the ingested protein.
So potentially we can balance our blood glucose response by managing the glucogenic inputs, that is, by moderating protein and keeping carbohydrates adequately low. And by doing this, we can minimise, or perhaps eliminate, the need for insulin or other medications.
the high protein ‘hack’ for diabetics
To some extent, obtaining glucose from protein rather than carbohydrate is a beneficial ‘hack’ for someone who is not able to manage their blood sugars given:
eating higher levels of protein will ensure that the body’s needs for essential amino acids are met or exceeded;
the blood sugar rise from protein is much slower than it is for carbohydrate foods and hence it is easier to keep blood sugars under control;
Paul Jaminet argues that obtaining glucose from protein is not ideal given that it’s not as energy efficient as getting it directly from carbohydrates.
However, I think that the optimal approach is to ensure that you maximise vitamins, minerals, fibre and amino acids from carbohydrate and protein containing foods while at the same time not overwhelming your body’s ability to maintain optimal blood sugars due to excess glucose from either carbohydrates or excess protein.
To some extent, it’s a balancing act between gaining adequate nutrition from things that will raise blood glucose while at the same time not overwhelming the ability of your pancreas to produce insulin to keep blood sugars in the ideal range.
what is the optimum amount of protein and carbohydrates?
I find Steve Phinney’s well formulated ketogenic diet chart helpful when it comes to understanding how to optimise protein and carbohydrate intake.
The minimum protein intake is around 10% of calories or 0.8g/kg body weight.  At this point the vast majority of the protein will go to muscle growth and repair. Based on the guidance given by the WFKD triangle you might even be able to tolerate up to 20% carbohydrates and stay in nutritional ketosis if you were to keep your protein levels low. At this point, you won’t have to worry too much about gluconeogenesis messing up your blood sugars because all of the protein will be used up in protein synthesis.
If you are active, then you will likely want higher levels of protein, with 1.2 to 1.7g/kg body weight recommended for athletic performance.  Higher levels of protein will ensure that you have enough amino acids for optimal physical and mental function rather than just being adequate.
As we move to higher levels of protein above the minimum 10% of calories we should consider also reducing carbohydrate and increasing fat, due to the fact that the glucogenic portion of the protein that is over and above the basic needs for growth and repair will likely be turned into glucose, requiring increased levels of insulin which will work against you if your goals are reducing your insulin load in order to stabilise blood sugars or to lose weight.
I have discussed the concept of balancing glucose load from protein and carbohydrates with your body’s ability to produce insulin in more detail in the article the Goldilocks glucose zone. However, if you are keeping track of your food intake you can use the formula below to calculate and track your insulin load.
If you are not yet achieving normal blood sugar levels you could try winding back your insulin load. Most people find that they will achieve stable blood sugars and nutritional ketosis with an insulin load of around 125g, however, your mileage may vary, and you will likely have to tweak this level to find your optimum based on your goals and your situation.
What do you think of all this? I would love to hear your response in the comments below.
Pete has teamed up with Paleo guru Nora Gedgaudas and has become a bit of a love / hate sensation in Australia lately. The had a great TV series The Paleo Way and have been touring Australia doing cooking demonstrations and TV show appearances.
Pete’s Facebook page has nearly a million followers so he’s a force to be reckoned with, even if the media love to hate him.
This recipe from the book was posted online here. We have the book and enjoy lots of meals from it, though they do take some prep time and the long list of ingredients aren’t always easy to find at the supermarket.
Sardines have a fantastic protein profile, heaps of vitamin D, and B12 and selenium. They also have a low insulin load being 50% fat and 50% protein. Sardines are up there with organ meats when it comes to their nutritional profile and a bit more palatable.
The base recipe does very well on the nutrient and protein scores, however the net carbs are a little high for a diabetic at 19g per 500 calorie serving. As a reference, Dr Richard Bernstein recommends that type 1s keep their carbs to 6g at breakfast with 12g at lunch and dinner.
A diabetic may wish to reduce the number of tomatoes as shown in the analysis below which reduces the net carbs to a much more ideal 12g per 500 calorie serving. With the reduction in tomatoes we get a small drop in the nutrient score from 80 to 73, although the amino acid score increases from 125 to 129. Tomatoes can also be something to watch out for if you have autoimmune issues.
People who are metabolically healthy can focus on maximising nutrient density without worrying too much about their blood glucose or calorie density.
These foods are ranked using nutrient density per weight which prioritises higher calorie density foods which is more appropriate for an athlete wanting to replenish energy rather than minimise calories. If you’re just completed a 100km ride it makes sense to reach for the nuts than the parsley to replenish energy.
Someone who is active and metabolically healthy will be able to tolerate higher levels of carbohydrates to replenish glycogen stores after intense exercise. However there is no need to eat more carbohydrates than would raise blood glucose levels to 6.7mmol/L (12omg/dL). Exceeding this level would indicate that the liver and muscle glucagon stores are overfull and excess carbohydrate could lead to insulin resistance and metabolic damage.
The list of veggies is not as long as you might think because they are not as nutrient dense as the other options. Veggies more extensively on the weight loss list where a lower calorie density is more of a priority.
People doing intense exercise and / or people who are metabolically healthy:
HbA1c < 5.4mmol/L (ideally less than 5.0mmol/L)
Average blood sugar < 5.4mmol/L (100mg/dL)
Average fasting blood sugar < 5.0mmol/L (90mg/dL)
If your blood sugars or weight deviate from optimum consider reverting to the optimal foods for weight loss or diabetes.
5 – 30% carbohydrates
15 – 30% protein
40 – 80% fat
Nutrient density, high fibre, and cost with less focus on choosing low insulinogenic foods.
I like it with sugar, with chocolate, or just plain.
I like the taste of coffee.
I like the way it makes me feel and helps me stay focused.
getting more out of my coffee
Do you know how I could enjoy coffee more?
I could stop drinking so darn much of it, that’s how.
If I drank less coffee I would restore my sensitivity to it.
It would then give me more of a hit when I did occasionally have it.
getting less out of my insulin
In a similar way that many of us have become addicted to coffee that leaves us less sensitive to the impact of caffeine, many of us have also become addicted to cheap processed simple carbohydrates that leave us insensitive to insulin. We become more sensitive to carbohydrate and insulin if we have less of it.
the physiological insulin resistance straw man argument
One of the criticisms that is levelled at low carbohydrate diets is that it causes what is called ‘physiological insulin resistance’.
This can mean that a person who is restricting carbohydrates may end up with higher fasting blood sugars and may have higher blood sugars after a higher carbohydrate meal.
Check out this video to see how some interpret ‘physiological insulin resistance’ to be a bad thing and a reason to eat lots of carbohydrates.
diabetes diagnosis criteria
There are a number of factors that are considered in the diagnosis of someone with type 2 diabetes: 
HbA1c, which is a measure of your average glucose over the past three months,
random blood sugar,
fasting blood sugar, and
oral glucose test.
what is physiological insulin resistance?
One of the clearest explanations of physiological insulin resistance I’ve seen comes from Paul Jaminet who says that physiological insulin resistance is a protective response of the body that ensures that the brain gets the benefit of a limited supply of glucose.
Because the rest of the body is refusing to take up glucose, and the liver takes it up slowly, a meal of carbohydrates is followed by higher blood glucose levels in someone on a low carbohydrate diet.
The human body is very adaptive to different situations and different fuel sources. Just because our reference data is from the past few decades when we have typically eaten large amounts of processed carbohydrates, we take that as the new normal.
Is physiological insulin resistance such a bad thing?
Maybe, maybe not.
Let’s look at what this means when it comes to the various tests that are done to diagnose diabetes.
oral glucose tolerance test
Yes, you may fail an oral glucose test if you are on a low carbohydrate diet due to physiological insulin resistance. But this guy will probably see a rise in his blood sugars too if you fed him the equivalent of two cans of Coke in one hit. 
If you have a large dose of fast digesting carbohydrates your body is not primed to dump a pile of insulin into the system. It takes a while to wind up and adjust to large amount of carbohydrates. You also don’t have a high level of insulin washing around in your system from the last pizza meal.
It’s sort of like me and my coffee addiction. Because there is not a lot of time when I don’t have some caffeine in my system I am not as sensitive to caffeine as I would be if I only had an occasional cup.
If you do want to pass an OGTT all you have to do is increase your carbohydrates for a few days before the test and your pancreas will increase the amount of insulin in your system and be better prepared for a high dose of carbohydrates. 
fasting blood sugar
Some people may find that their fasting blood sugars rise a little when they start consuming more fat and decrease carbohydrates, particularly if they increase their fat intake.
This is an area where your mileage may vary. I have seen some people run at very low carbohydrate levels and end up with progressively higher fasting blood sugars. Others see their fasting blood sugars continue to come down and ketones go up as they decrease the insulin load of their diet.
When on a lower carbohydrate diet you won’t have high levels of insulin floating around in your system and your body may choose to run blood glucose levels a little bit higher by secreting more glucose from the liver. This is not really a problem if you feel OK.
Many people find this to be a passing phase and after a time of keeping the insulin load of their diet low see their blood sugars come down.
As you keep the glucose load of your diet low you will ‘dry up the root’ and eventually after glucose stores in the liver are depleted, your fatty liver is resolved and your body fat levels are reduced you just won’t have as much glucose available for your liver to keep pumping into your bloodstream.
If you find that you don’t feel good at very low carbohydrate levels then by all means increase your carbohydrates and protein particularly to ensure that you are getting adequate nutrition. Check out the Goldilocks glucose zone article for more thoughts on how to find the right level of glucose for you.
Most people find that their calorie intake decreases with a LCHF approach, however as this study from Dr Thomas Syfriend shows long term excess calories even with a high fat diet is probably not going to end well. Intermittent fasting or tracking your calories to make sure you’re not overdoing the butter may be helpful if you’re not achieving normal fasting blood sugars.
random blood sugar
Carbohydrates are the most potent thing that raises blood sugar. If you are on a low carbohydrate diet chances are your random blood sugar (i.e. non-fasting) will be much lower than if you were on a high carbohydrate diet.
With a smaller amount of dietary carbohydrates you should see much lower post meal blood sugars.
Generally the small amount of insulin that you generate after meals will bring your blood sugar down quickly.
With lower post meal blood sugars your average blood sugar will likely be much lower on a low carbohydrate diet. Therefore your HbA1c, which is a measure of your average blood sugar over three months,  should be lower.
We are now understanding more and more that insulin resistance is public health enemy number one. Insulin resistance is a better predictor of heart disease than HDL, LDL, BMI and smoking! 
Making sure you have some time when high levels of insulin are not floating around in your blood stream will help increase your insulin sensitivity and enable your body to manage your blood sugars.
Consistently high levels of carbohydrates will ensure that your insulin resistance stays high!
I am probably not going to stop drinking coffee any time soon, but in view of the evidence I do try to make sure that I have periods where I give my body a chance to restore its sensitivity to insulin!
If you are interested in reducing your insulin load while ensuring that you achieve great nutrition that supports your goals, check out this list of optimal foods and meals.